Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 89.302 to 88.602, down 0.78%
Market Energy Bear Critical -64.1% to Bear Critical -74.1%, down 10.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.73%0.07%0.43%0.78%
Energy47.611.523.110.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.73% 0.07% 0.43% 0.78% 47.6 11.5 23.1 10.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.78% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.0 pts — higher than 56% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USOIL 1H

Sample: 69,160 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,040 times

When USOIL is in Bear Critical:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 2,106 times69.3%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 934 times30.7%

Current USOIL market energy: -74.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.09%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.41%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · H1 · 2026-09-04 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-64.1%
Bear Critical
-74.1%
Bear Critical
-66.5%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USOIL processing result: the Bear Critical zone after the 1H candle closed.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from -64.1% to -74.1%, down -10% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -98.6 to +99.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 88.602, down 0.78% from the previous candle (89.302). Market Energy was -74.1%, down 10.0 points from -64.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 88.602, down 0.78% from the previous 1H candle (89.302). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USOIL, across 45,437 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10 percentage points from the previous candle — from -64.1% to -74.1%. This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USOIL at -64.1%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -74.1%, USOIL is 14.09 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.41 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.1%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Critical, -74.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 33.1%. USOIL (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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