Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 100.757 to 97.174, down 3.56%
Market Energy Bull Critical 66.4% to Bull Bias 40.7%, down 25.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.64%0.65%2.38%3.56%
Energy1.510.54.325.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.64% 0.65% 2.38% 3.56% 1.5 10.5 4.3 25.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.56% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 25.7 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USOIL Daily

Sample: 7,461 Daily candles from 1997-01-03 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 749 times

When USOIL is in Bull Bias:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 358 times47.8%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 391 times52.2%

Current USOIL market energy: 40.7%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 19.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 19.82%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · D1 · 2026-09-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
66.4%
Bull Critical
40.7%
Bull Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, USOIL in the Bull Bias zone.

Per the 2AI model, Energy delta -25.7%: Market Energy at 40.7%, previously 66.4%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from +40.7 to +82.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, USOIL was at 97.174, down 3.56% from the previous candle (100.757). Market Energy was 40.7%, down 25.7 points from 66.4%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 97.174, down 3.56% from the previous Daily candle (100.757). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USOIL, across 2,397 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 66.4% to 40.7%. This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USOIL.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USOIL at 66.4%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 40.7%, USOIL is 19.3 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 19.82 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.6%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bull Bias, 40.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 44.1%. USOIL (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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