Analysis

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Price and energy
USOIL from 84.776 to 80.577, down 4.95%
Market Energy Bull Bias 36.2% to Bear Critical -71.9%, down 108.1 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.32%0.71%1.00%4.95%
Energy1.05.122.6108.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.32% 0.71% 1.00% 4.95% 1.0 5.1 22.6 108.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.95% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 108.1 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USOIL Daily

Sample: 7,460 Daily candles from 1997-01-03 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 405 times

When USOIL is in Bear Critical:

  • then USOIL moved to higher Market State: 265 times65.4%
  • then USOIL moved to lower Market State: 140 times34.6%

Current USOIL market energy: -71.92%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.58%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USOIL · D1 · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
36.2%
Bull Bias
-71.9%
Bear Critical
-76.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle completes, Result for USOIL: the near-peak Bear energy zone.

Market movement after the Daily candle closes, Market Energy moved from 36.2% to -71.9%, down -108.1% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USOIL Market Energy ranged from -71.9 to +64.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USOIL price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 25-08-2026 closed, USOIL was at 80.577, down 4.95% from the previous candle (84.776). Market Energy was -71.9%, down 108.1 points from 36.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USOIL price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USOIL closed at 80.577, down 4.95% from the previous Daily candle (84.776). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USOIL, across 2,378 candles since 2019.

How did USOIL Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 108.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 36.2% to -71.9%. This is the largest of all drops on the Daily timeframe for USOIL on record since 2019.

Do USOIL price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USOIL in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USOIL at 36.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USOIL moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does USOIL energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.9%, USOIL is 11.92 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.58 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 3.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18%. Against this backdrop, USOIL (Bear Critical, -71.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 33.1%. USOIL (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USOIL.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USOIL on the USOIL overview →

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