Analysis

USDJPY 156.834 ↓0.01%: Bears very strong · D Oct 25, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 157.067 · High 157.0775 · Low 156.787 · Close 156.834 · Range (high − low) 0.2905
USDJPY closed at 156.834, down 0.022 (-0.01%) from 156.856.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -71.3% to Bear Critical at -63.6%, up 7.8 points.
Fourth straight down candle, energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.152157.348156.856156.834
Energy29.7%-44.0%-71.3%-63.6%
Price change↓ 0.09%↓ 0.51%↓ 0.31%↓ 0.01%
Energy change↓ 9.7↓ 73.8↓ 27.3↑ 7.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.09%↓ 0.51%↓ 0.31%↓ 0.01%↓ 9.7↓ 73.8↓ 27.3↑ 7.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 6% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.8 pts — higher than 37% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,074 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 184 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 140 times — 76.1%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 44 times — 23.9%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -63.55%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 3.55%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.95%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-10-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-71.3%
Bear Critical
-63.6%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the Daily candle, USDJPY within Bear in Critical state.

On the measurement side, Market Energy at -63.6%, up +7.8% from -71.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -71.3 to 39.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 25-10-2026, USDJPY was at 156.834, down 0.01% from the previous candle (156.856). Market Energy was -63.6%, up 7.8 points from -71.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.834, down 0.01% from the previous Daily candle (156.856). This drop is larger than 6% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,444 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.3% to -63.6%. This rise is larger than 37% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at -71.3%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -63.6%, USDJPY is 3.55 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.95 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 19.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 12.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -63.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 12.1%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 75.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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