Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 160.202 to 158.901, down 0.81%
Market Energy Bull Critical 65.4% to Bear Bias -26.9%, down 92.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.23%0.28%0.81%
Energy14.723.49.092.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.23% 0.28% 0.81% 14.7 23.4 9.0 92.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.81% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 92.3 pts — higher than 98% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY Daily

Sample: 4,040 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 322 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 199 times61.8%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 123 times38.2%

Current USDJPY market energy: -26.89%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 6.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 33.11%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · D1 · 2026-09-02 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
65.4%
Bull Critical
-26.9%
Bear Bias
-97.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded USDJPY in the Bear Bias energy zone after the Daily candle closed.

The USDJPY market at session end, Market trend energy recorded a -92.3% drop from the previous candle, from 65.4% to -26.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -26.9 to +79.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 02-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.901, down 0.81% from the previous candle (160.202). Market Energy was -26.9%, down 92.3 points from 65.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.901, down 0.81% from the previous Daily candle (160.202). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY, across 2,399 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 92.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 65.4% to -26.9%. This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDJPY at 65.4%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -26.9%, USDJPY is 6.01 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 33.11 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -76.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -26.9%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 75.4%. USDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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