Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDCNH from 6.7127 to 6.708, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Bias -57.8% to Bear Extreme -77.3%, down 19.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.02%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.07%
Energy▲ 4.9▼ 1.9▲ 5.5▼ 19.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.02%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.01%▼ 0.07%▲ 4.9▼ 1.9▲ 5.5▼ 19.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 19.5 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDCNH 4H

Sample: 289 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 12 times

▸When USDCNH is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDCNH moved to higher Market State: 12 times — 100%
  • then USDCNH moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDCNH market energy: -77.33%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.83%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.67%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDCNH · H4 · 2026-09-28 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-57.8%
Bear Bias
-77.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, USDCNH classified as the Bear Extreme measurement.

The energy side shows The energy level dropped -19.5%: from -57.8% now at -77.3%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCNH Market Energy ranged from -77.3 to +86.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCNH price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, USDCNH was at 6.708, down 0.07% from the previous candle (6.7127). Market Energy was -77.3%, down 19.5 points from -57.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDCNH price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCNH closed at 6.708, down 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (6.7127). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCNH, across 288 candles since 2019.

How did USDCNH Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 19.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -57.8% to -77.3%. This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCNH.

Do USDCNH price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCNH in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCNH at -57.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDCNH moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDCNH energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.3%, USDCNH is 2.83 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.67 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCNH (Bear Extreme, -77.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.8%. USDCNH (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCNH.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCNH on the USDCNH overview →

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