Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCNH from 6.6961 to 6.6954, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.3% to Bear Extreme -76.1%, down 7.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.03%0.04%0.01%
Energy9.614.40.17.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.03% 0.04% 0.01% 9.6 14.4 0.1 7.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 28% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.9 pts — higher than 37% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDCNH 4H

Sample: 249 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-18
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 10 times

When USDCNH is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDCNH moved to higher Market State: 10 times100%
  • then USDCNH moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDCNH market energy: -76.11%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.61%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.89%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDCNH · H4 · 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-68.3%
Bear Critical
-76.1%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, USDCNH in the peak Bear energy level.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy moved from -68.3% to -76.1%, down -7.9% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCNH Market Energy ranged from -92.2 to +62.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCNH price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 19-09-2026 closed, USDCNH was at 6.6954, down 0.01% from the previous candle (6.6961). Market Energy was -76.1%, down 7.9 points from -68.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDCNH price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCNH closed at 6.6954, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (6.6961). This drop is larger than 28% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCNH, across 251 candles since 2019.

How did USDCNH Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.3% to -76.1%. This drop is larger than 37% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDCNH.

Do USDCNH price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCNH in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCNH at -68.3%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDCNH moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDCNH energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.1%, USDCNH is 1.61 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.89 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -89.7%. Against this backdrop, USDCNH (Bear Extreme, -76.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87.3%. USDCNH (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCNH.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCNH on the USDCNH overview →

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