Analysis

·

Candle open
Price and energy
USDCHF from 0.83059 to 0.82878, down 0.22%
Market Energy Bull Bias 29.4% to Neutral -8.8%, down 38.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.29%▲ 0.17%▼ 0.61%▼ 0.22%
Energy▲ 1.6▼ 3.1▼ 57.4▼ 38.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.29%▲ 0.17%▼ 0.61%▼ 0.22%▲ 1.6▼ 3.1▼ 57.4▼ 38.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.22% — higher than 50% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 38.2 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDCHF Daily

Sample: 4,047 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-02
Number of Neutral occurrences: 451 times

▸When USDCHF is in Neutral:

  • then USDCHF moved to higher Market State: 223 times — 49.4%
  • then USDCHF moved to lower Market State: 228 times — 50.6%

▸Current USDCHF market energy: -8.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 29.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 12.09%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDCHF · D1 · 2026-10-02 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDCHF chart →
Market Energy
29.4%
Bull Bias
-8.8%
Neutral
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

USDCHF recorded in a zone without a clearly established energy state as the Daily candle ended.

On the energy side, Energy delta -38.2%: Market Energy at -8.8%, previously 29.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCHF Market Energy ranged from -8.8 to +89.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCHF price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, USDCHF was at 0.82878, down 0.22% from the previous candle (0.83059). Market Energy was -8.8%, down 38.2 points from 29.4%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDCHF price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCHF closed at 0.82878, down 0.22% from the previous Daily candle (0.83059). This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDCHF, across 2,423 candles since 2019.

How did USDCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 38.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 29.4% to -8.8%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for USDCHF.

Do USDCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCHF in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDCHF at 29.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does USDCHF energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -8.8%, USDCHF is 29.67 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 12.09 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 12.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCHF (Neutral, -8.8%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.4%. USDCHF energy is currently below DXY by 79.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCHF on the USDCHF overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .