Analysis

TRXUSD 0.3343 ↓0.33%: Bears very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 18, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.3353 · High 0.3354 · Low 0.3342 · Close 0.3343 · Range (high − low) 0.0012
TRXUSD closed at 0.3343, down 0.0011 (-0.33%) from 0.3354.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 49.2% to Bear Critical at -62.3%, down 111.5 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.33590.33690.33540.3343
Energy60.5%84.3%49.2%-62.3%
Price change↑ 0.24%↑ 0.30%↓ 0.45%↓ 0.33%
Energy change↑ 3.6↑ 23.8↓ 35.0↓ 111.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.24%↑ 0.30%↓ 0.45%↓ 0.33%↑ 3.6↑ 23.8↓ 35.0↓ 111.5
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.33% — higher than 34% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 111.5 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical TRXUSD 4H

Sample: 18,298 4H candles from 2018-06-11 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 452 times

▸When TRXUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then TRXUSD moved to higher Market State: 330 times — 73%
  • then TRXUSD moved to lower Market State: 122 times — 27%

▸Current TRXUSD market energy: -62.26%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 2.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 12.24%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

TRXUSD · H4 · 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live TRXUSD chart →
Market Energy
49.2%
Bull Bias
-62.3%
Bear Critical
-82.8%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, Result for TRXUSD: the Bear Critical state.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -111.5% from the previous session, from 49.2% to -62.3%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, TRXUSD Market Energy ranged from -97 to 92.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did TRXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 17-10-2026, TRXUSD was at 0.3343, down 0.33% from the previous candle (0.3354). Market Energy was -62.3%, down 111.5 points from 49.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did TRXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

TRXUSD closed at 0.3343, down 0.33% from the previous 4H candle (0.3354). This drop is larger than 34% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD, across 17,076 candles since 2019.

How did TRXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 111.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 49.2% to -62.3%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD on record since 2019.

Do TRXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was TRXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had TRXUSD at 49.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, TRXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does TRXUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -62.3%, TRXUSD is 2.26 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 12.24 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, TRXUSD (Bear Critical, -62.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.5%. TRXUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for TRXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for TRXUSD on the TRXUSD overview →

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