Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
TRXUSD from 0.3376 to 0.3328, down 1.42%
Market Energy Bull Bias 53.2% to Bear Extreme -90.4%, down 143.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.15%▲ 0.33%▼ 0.27%▼ 1.42%
Energy▼ 15.3▲ 3.3▼ 8.3▼ 143.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.15%▲ 0.33%▼ 0.27%▼ 1.42%▼ 15.3▲ 3.3▼ 8.3▼ 143.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.42% — higher than 80% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 143.6 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme TRXUSD 4H

Sample: 18,193 4H candles from 2018-06-11 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 206 times

▸When TRXUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then TRXUSD moved to higher Market State: 206 times — 100%
  • then TRXUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current TRXUSD market energy: -90.36%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 15.86%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 9.64%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

TRXUSD · H4 · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live TRXUSD chart →
Market Energy
53.2%
Bull Bias
-90.4%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
23:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, TRXUSD noted at the Bear Extreme zone.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market Energy dropped -143.6% this candle, currently -90.4% (previous candle 53.2%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, TRXUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.5 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did TRXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, TRXUSD was at 0.3328, down 1.42% from the previous candle (0.3376). Market Energy was -90.4%, down 143.6 points from 53.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did TRXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

TRXUSD closed at 0.3328, down 1.42% from the previous 4H candle (0.3376). This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD, across 16,978 candles since 2019.

How did TRXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 143.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 53.2% to -90.4%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for TRXUSD on record since 2019.

Do TRXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was TRXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had TRXUSD at 53.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, TRXUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does TRXUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -90.4%, TRXUSD is 15.86 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 9.64 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.9%. Against this backdrop, TRXUSD (Bear Extreme, -90.4%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 94.8%. TRXUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for TRXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for TRXUSD on the TRXUSD overview →

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