Analysis

SUGAR 0.2025 ↓0.66%: Bears have the edge · 4H 20:00 Oct 21, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.2059 · High 0.2063 · Low 0.20215 · Close 0.2025 · Range (high − low) 0.00415
SUGAR closed at 0.2025, down 0.00135 (-0.66%) from 0.20385.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -37.8% to Bear Bias at -48.3%, down 10.4 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.204750.203850.203850.2025
Energy-14.0%-23.0%-37.8%-48.3%
Price change↑ 0.02%↓ 0.44%0.00%↓ 0.66%
Energy change↑ 0.5↓ 9.0↓ 14.9↓ 10.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.02%↓ 0.44%0.00%↓ 0.66%↑ 0.5↓ 9.0↓ 14.9↓ 10.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.66% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.4 pts — higher than 46% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SUGAR 4H

Sample: 124 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 6 times

▸When SUGAR is in Bear Bias:

  • then SUGAR moved to higher Market State: 4 times — 66.7%
  • then SUGAR moved to lower Market State: 2 times — 33.3%

▸Current SUGAR market energy: -48.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 27.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 11.73%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

SUGAR · H4 · 2026-10-21 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SUGAR chart →
Market Energy
-37.8%
Bear Bias
-48.3%
Bear Bias
-42.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Market Energy state leaning Bear is the result just recorded for SUGAR after the 4H candle closed.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -10.4% from the previous session, from -37.8% to -48.3%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SUGAR Market Energy ranged from -48.3 to 4.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did SUGAR price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 20:00 on 21-10-2026, SUGAR was at 0.2025, down 0.66% from the previous candle (0.20385). Market Energy was -48.3%, down 10.4 points from -37.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SUGAR price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SUGAR closed at 0.2025, down 0.66% from the previous 4H candle (0.20385). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SUGAR, across 124 candles since 2019.

How did SUGAR Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -37.8% to -48.3%. This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SUGAR.

Do SUGAR price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SUGAR in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SUGAR at -37.8%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SUGAR energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -48.3%, SUGAR is 27.39 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 11.73 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%. Against this backdrop, SUGAR (Bear Bias, -48.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -22.5%. SUGAR (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SUGAR.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SUGAR on the SUGAR overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .