Analysis

SOLUSD 103.56 ↓1.15%: Bears have the edge · 4H 03:00 Oct 24, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 104.78 · High 105.01 · Low 103.52 · Close 103.56 · Range (high − low) 1.49
SOLUSD closed at 103.56, down 1.21 (-1.15%) from 104.77.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -3.6% to Bear Bias at -29.7%, down 26.1 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price104.32104.54104.77103.56
Energy-40.4%-30.0%-3.6%-29.7%
Price change↑ 0.07%↑ 0.21%↑ 0.22%↓ 1.15%
Energy change↑ 7.3↑ 10.4↑ 26.4↓ 26.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.07%↑ 0.21%↑ 0.22%↓ 1.15%↑ 7.3↑ 10.4↑ 26.4↓ 26.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.15% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 26.1 pts — higher than 80% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,584 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,151 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 720 times — 62.6%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 431 times — 37.4%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -29.73%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 8.85%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.27%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-23 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-3.6%
Neutral
-29.7%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, SOLUSD within the Bear Bias energy zone.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -26.1% from the previous candle, from -3.6% to -29.7%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.2 to 72.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 23-10-2026, SOLUSD was at 103.56, down 1.15% from the previous candle (104.77). Market Energy was -29.7%, down 26.1 points from -3.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 103.56, down 1.15% from the previous 4H candle (104.77). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,586 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 26.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -3.6% to -29.7%. This drop is larger than 80% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at -3.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -29.7%, SOLUSD is 8.85 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 30.27 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 17.3%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Bias, -29.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 32.5%. SOLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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