Analysis

SOLUSD 105.52 ↓1.36%: Bears have the edge · 4H 11:00 Oct 22, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 106.97 · High 107.5 · Low 105.04 · Close 105.52 · Range (high − low) 2.46
SOLUSD closed at 105.52, down 1.45 (-1.36%) from 106.97.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 46.7% to Bear Bias at -21.9%, down 68.7 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price108.49108.31106.97105.52
Energy71.3%68.0%46.7%-21.9%
Price change↑ 1.52%↓ 0.17%↓ 1.24%↓ 1.36%
Energy change↑ 35.8↓ 3.3↓ 21.3↓ 68.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.52%↓ 0.17%↓ 1.24%↓ 1.36%↑ 35.8↓ 3.3↓ 21.3↓ 68.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.36% — higher than 59% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 68.7 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,572 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,149 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 720 times — 62.7%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 429 times — 37.3%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -21.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 1.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 38.06%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
46.7%
Bull Bias
-21.9%
Bear Bias
-73.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The energy state leaning Bear recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for SOLUSD.

Market energy movement Market Energy moved from 46.7% to -21.9%, down -68.7% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.2 to 72.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 11:00 on 22-10-2026, SOLUSD was at 105.52, down 1.36% from the previous candle (106.97). Market Energy was -21.9%, down 68.7 points from 46.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 105.52, down 1.36% from the previous 4H candle (106.97). This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,576 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 68.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 46.7% to -21.9%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 46.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -21.9%, SOLUSD is 1.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 38.06 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Bias, -21.9%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -21%. SOLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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