Analysis

SOLUSD 108.31 ↓0.17%: Bulls very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 108.49 · High 109.2 · Low 107.34 · Close 108.31 · Range (high − low) 1.86
SOLUSD closed at 108.31, down 0.18 (-0.17%) from 108.49.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 71.3% to Bull Critical at 68.0%, down 3.3 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price106.83106.87108.49108.31
Energy27.1%35.5%71.3%68.0%
Price change↑ 0.92%↑ 0.04%↑ 1.52%↓ 0.17%
Energy change↑ 4.8↑ 8.4↑ 35.8↓ 3.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.92%↑ 0.04%↑ 1.52%↓ 0.17%↑ 4.8↑ 8.4↑ 35.8↓ 3.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.17% — higher than 9% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.3 pts — higher than 19% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,572 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 722 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 216 times — 29.9%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 506 times — 70.1%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: 68.03%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.47%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.03%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-21 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
71.3%
Bull Critical
68.0%
Bull Critical
46.7%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The near-peak Bull energy zone determined for SOLUSD through the 4H candle data.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy reading dropped -3.3%, moving from 71.3% to 68% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.2 to 72.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 21-10-2026, SOLUSD was at 108.31, down 0.17% from the previous candle (108.49). Market Energy was 68%, down 3.3 points from 71.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 108.31, down 0.17% from the previous 4H candle (108.49). This drop is larger than 9% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,574 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.3% to 68%. This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 71.3%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68%, SOLUSD is 6.47 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.03 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.5%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bull Critical, 68%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 20.6%. SOLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 47.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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