Analysis

SOLUSD 102.23 ↓1.7%: Bears have the edge · 4H 23:00 Oct 18, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 104.01 · High 104.32 · Low 101.75 · Close 102.23 · Range (high − low) 2.57
SOLUSD closed at 102.23, down 1.77 (-1.70%) from 104.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 4.9% to Bear Bias at -43.2%, down 48.1 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price104.52103.31104102.23
Energy16.2%2.7%4.9%-43.2%
Price change↑ 1.01%↓ 1.16%↑ 0.67%↓ 1.70%
Energy change↑ 48.4↓ 13.6↑ 2.3↓ 48.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.01%↓ 1.16%↑ 0.67%↓ 1.70%↑ 48.4↓ 13.6↑ 2.3↓ 48.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.70% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 48.1 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,554 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,148 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 720 times — 62.7%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 428 times — 37.3%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -43.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 22.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 16.8%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-18 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
4.9%
Neutral
-43.2%
Bear Bias
-85.2%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, SOLUSD recorded in Bear Bias.

The energy side shows Market trend energy recorded a -48.1% drop from the previous candle, from 4.9% to -43.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -87.5 to 68.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 18-10-2026, SOLUSD was at 102.23, down 1.7% from the previous candle (104). Market Energy was -43.2%, down 48.1 points from 4.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 102.23, down 1.7% from the previous 4H candle (104). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,555 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 48.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 4.9% to -43.2%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 4.9%, Neutral — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -43.2%, SOLUSD is 22.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 16.8 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -74.2%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Bias, -43.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 38.5%. SOLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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