Analysis

SOLUSD 106.03 ↓0.05%: Bulls very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 106.09 · High 106.51 · Low 105.13 · Close 106.03 · Range (high − low) 1.38
SOLUSD closed at 106.03, down 0.05 (-0.05%) from 106.08.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 35.2% to Bull Critical at 68.1%, up 32.9 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price103.28102.18106.08106.03
Energy-58.4%-59.3%35.2%68.1%
Price change↑ 0.79%↓ 1.07%↑ 3.82%↓ 0.05%
Energy change↑ 13.1↓ 0.9↑ 94.5↑ 32.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.79%↓ 1.07%↑ 3.82%↓ 0.05%↑ 13.1↓ 0.9↑ 94.5↑ 32.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 2% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 32.9 pts — higher than 85% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,554 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 721 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 216 times — 30%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 505 times — 70%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: 68.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.4%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.1%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-15 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
35.2%
Bull Bias
68.1%
Bull Critical
58.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Result for SOLUSD: the near-extreme Bull energy state.

Market trend energy Market Energy reading rose +32.9%, moving from 35.2% to 68.1% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -89 to 80.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 15-10-2026, SOLUSD was at 106.03, down 0.05% from the previous candle (106.08). Market Energy was 68.1%, up 32.9 points from 35.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 106.03, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (106.08). This drop is larger than 2% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,538 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 32.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 35.2% to 68.1%. This rise is larger than 85% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 35.2%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.1%, SOLUSD is 6.4 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.1 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 86.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 88.2%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bull Critical, 68.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -4.9%. SOLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 73 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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