Analysis

SOLUSD 108.91 ↓1.89%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 23:00 Oct 12, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 111.01 · High 111.09 · Low 108.32 · Close 108.91 · Range (high − low) 2.77
SOLUSD closed at 108.91, down 2.1 (-1.89%) from 111.01.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 25.5% to Bear Extreme at -74.8%, down 100.3 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price111.72112.6111.01108.91
Energy60.1%64.1%25.5%-74.8%
Price change↑ 0.33%↑ 0.79%↓ 1.41%↓ 1.89%
Energy change↑ 1.9↑ 4.0↓ 38.6↓ 100.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.33%↑ 0.79%↓ 1.41%↓ 1.89%↑ 1.9↑ 4.0↓ 38.6↓ 100.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.89% — higher than 72% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 100.3 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,605 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-26
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 425 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 425 times — 100%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -74.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 0.28%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 25.22%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-12 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
25.5%
Bull Bias
-74.8%
Bear Extreme
-78.0%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, SOLUSD in the peak Bear energy level.

At the 4H session close, A -100.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -74.8% (previous: 25.5%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.5 to 80.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 23:00 on 12-10-2026, SOLUSD was at 108.91, down 1.89% from the previous candle (111.01). Market Energy was -74.8%, down 100.3 points from 25.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 108.91, down 1.89% from the previous 4H candle (111.01). This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,519 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 100.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 25.5% to -74.8%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 25.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -74.8%, SOLUSD is 0.28 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 25.22 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -68.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 13.4%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Extreme, -74.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 87.1%. SOLUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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