Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 121.23 to 121.56, up 0.27%
Market Energy Bull Bias 42.7% to Bull Bias 43.3%, up 0.7 pts
Up candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.96%▲ 0.31%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.27%
Energy▲ 37.9▲ 36.6▲ 3.9▲ 0.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.96%▲ 0.31%▲ 0.07%▲ 0.27%▲ 37.9▲ 36.6▲ 3.9▲ 0.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.27% — higher than 15% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.7 pts — higher than 4% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,468 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-03
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,092 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 435 times — 39.8%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 657 times — 60.2%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: 43.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 16.65%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 22.47%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
42.7%
Bull Bias
43.3%
Bull Bias
Expected at
03:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, SOLUSD within the Bull Bias level.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Compared to the previous candle (42.7%), Market Energy rose +0.7% to 43.3%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -62.6 to +75.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 04-10-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 121.56, up 0.27% from the previous candle (121.23). Market Energy was 43.3%, up 0.7 points from 42.7%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 121.56, up 0.27% from the previous 4H candle (121.23). This rise is larger than 15% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,471 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 42.7% to 43.3%. This rise is larger than 4% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 42.7%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 43.3%, SOLUSD is 16.65 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 22.47 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.7%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bull Bias, 43.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.6%. SOLUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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