Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 118.48 to 119.5, up 0.86%
Market Energy Bear Bias -28.9% to Neutral -10.4%, up 18.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.29%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.55%▲ 0.86%
Energy▲ 7.6▲ 2.0▼ 7.5▲ 18.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.29%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.55%▲ 0.86%▲ 7.6▲ 2.0▼ 7.5▲ 18.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.86% — higher than 42% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 18.5 pts — higher than 70% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,445 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-30
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,180 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 584 times — 49.5%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 596 times — 50.5%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -10.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 31.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 10.45%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-28.9%
Bear Bias
-10.4%
Neutral
Expected at
23:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, SOLUSD within balanced energy.

On the energy side, Market Energy at -10.4%, up +18.5% from -28.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.8 to +89.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 119.5, up 0.86% from the previous candle (118.48). Market Energy was -10.4%, up 18.5 points from -28.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 119.5, up 0.86% from the previous 4H candle (118.48). This rise is larger than 42% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,446 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 18.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -28.9% to -10.4%. This rise is larger than 70% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at -28.9%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -10.4%, SOLUSD is 31.31 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 10.45 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28.6%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Neutral, -10.4%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71.4%. SOLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 60.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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