Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 120.64 to 120.76, up 0.10%
Market Energy Bull Critical 64.4% to Bull Critical 60.2%, down 4.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.48%▲ 0.20%▼ 1.24%▲ 0.10%
Energy▲ 2.9▼ 0.9▼ 10.1▼ 4.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.48%▲ 0.20%▼ 1.24%▲ 0.10%▲ 2.9▼ 0.9▼ 10.1▼ 4.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.10% — higher than 5% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.2 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,421 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-26
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 715 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 216 times — 30.2%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 499 times — 69.8%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: 60.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.21%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-26 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
64.4%
Bull Critical
60.2%
Bull Critical
Expected at
19:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull trend energy near extreme recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for SOLUSD.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy at 60.2%, down -4.2% from 64.4% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.3 to +98.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 26-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 120.76, up 0.1% from the previous candle (120.64). Market Energy was 60.2%, down 4.2 points from 64.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 120.76, up 0.1% from the previous 4H candle (120.64). This rise is larger than 5% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,421 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 64.4% to 60.2%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price rose but energy fell — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 64.4%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.2%, SOLUSD is 14.29 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.21 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 65.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.1%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bull Critical, 60.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -0.3%. SOLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 60.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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