Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 117.1 to 113.86, down 2.77%
Market Energy Neutral -16.4% to Bear Extreme -82.3%, down 65.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.46%1.02%0.68%2.77%
Energy0.824.753.365.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.46% 1.02% 0.68% 2.77% 0.8 24.7 53.3 65.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.77% — higher than 84% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 65.9 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,406 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-23
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 416 times

When SOLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 416 times100%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current SOLUSD market energy: -82.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.78%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 17.72%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-23 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-16.4%
Neutral
-82.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
03:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

SOLUSD classified into Bear energy at Extreme after the 4H candle completed.

The market energy reading Market Energy dropped -65.9% from the previous session, from -16.4% to -82.3%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.3 to +99.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 23-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 113.86, down 2.77% from the previous candle (117.1). Market Energy was -82.3%, down 65.9 points from -16.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 113.86, down 2.77% from the previous 4H candle (117.1). This drop is larger than 84% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,405 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 65.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -16.4% to -82.3%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at -16.4%, Neutral — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Extreme.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -82.3%, SOLUSD is 7.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 17.72 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -84.2%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Extreme, -82.3%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 60.7%. SOLUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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