Analysis

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Price and energy
SOLUSD from 102.35 to 101.57, down 0.76%
Market Energy Bear Bias -46.5% to Bear Bias -55.3%, down 8.8 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.32%1.12%0.71%0.76%
Energy0.834.932.98.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.32% 1.12% 0.71% 0.76% 0.8 34.9 32.9 8.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.76% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.8 pts — higher than 44% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,325 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,123 times

When SOLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 705 times62.8%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 418 times37.2%

Current SOLUSD market energy: -55.29%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 34.41%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 4.71%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-09 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-46.5%
Bear Bias
-55.3%
Bear Bias
-43.9%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

SOLUSD recorded in the Bear Bias energy level as the 4H candle ended.

The energy side shows Market Energy at -55.3%, down -8.8% from -46.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -57.5 to +62.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 101.57, down 0.76% from the previous candle (102.35). Market Energy was -55.3%, down 8.8 points from -46.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 101.57, down 0.76% from the previous 4H candle (102.35). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,323 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -46.5% to -55.3%. This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at -46.5%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -55.3%, SOLUSD is 34.41 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 4.71 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -32.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.7%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Bias, -55.3%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.9%. SOLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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