Analysis

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Price and energy
SOLUSD from 103.94 to 103.72, down 0.21%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 87.0% to Bull Extreme 80.8%, down 6.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price4.33%0.10%1.27%0.21%
Energy69.14.310.16.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
4.33% 0.10% 1.27% 0.21% 69.1 4.3 10.1 6.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.21% — higher than 12% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.2 pts — higher than 32% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,328 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 496 times

When SOLUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 496 times100%

Current SOLUSD market energy: 80.8%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 19.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 6.3%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
87.0%
Bull Extreme
80.8%
Bull Extreme
76.2%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

SOLUSD recorded in Bull energy at peak level as the 4H candle ended.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy at 80.8%, down -6.2% from 87% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -84.3 to +97.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 103.72, down 0.21% from the previous candle (103.94). Market Energy was 80.8%, down 6.2 points from 87%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 103.72, down 0.21% from the previous 4H candle (103.94). This drop is larger than 12% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,288 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 87% to 80.8%. This drop is larger than 32% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 87%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 80.8%, SOLUSD is 19.2 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 6.3 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 57.5%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bull Extreme, 80.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -59.4%. SOLUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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