Analysis

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Price and energy
SOLUSD from 105.82 to 101.75, down 3.85%
Market Energy Bull Bias 29.8% to Bear Extreme -75.5%, down 105.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.26%1.11%0.44%3.85%
Energy1.326.417.2105.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.26% 1.11% 0.44% 3.85% 1.3 26.4 17.2 105.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.85% — higher than 91% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 105.3 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme SOLUSD 4H

Sample: 13,350 4H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 416 times

When SOLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 416 times100%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current SOLUSD market energy: -75.51%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.01%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.49%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H4 · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
29.8%
Bull Bias
-75.5%
Bear Extreme
-84.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, SOLUSD classified as the peak Bear energy zone.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -105.3% from the previous candle, from 29.8% to -75.5%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -75.5 to +98.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 31-08-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 101.75, down 3.85% from the previous candle (105.82). Market Energy was -75.5%, down 105.3 points from 29.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 101.75, down 3.85% from the previous 4H candle (105.82). This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 13,263 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 105.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 29.8% to -75.5%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had SOLUSD at 29.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.5%, SOLUSD is 1.01 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.49 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.4%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Extreme, -75.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 90.3%. SOLUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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