Analysis

SOLUSD 103.77 ↓1.78%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 1H 23:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 105.65 · High 105.67 · Low 103.77 · Close 103.77 · Range (high − low) 1.9
SOLUSD closed at 103.77, down 1.88 (-1.78%) from 105.65.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -52.4% to Bear Extreme at -96.8%, down 44.4 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price105.65105.72105.65103.77
Energy-62.9%-61.6%-52.4%-96.8%
Price change↓ 0.90%↑ 0.07%↓ 0.07%↓ 1.78%
Energy change↓ 103.3↑ 1.3↑ 9.3↓ 44.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.90%↑ 0.07%↓ 0.07%↓ 1.78%↓ 103.3↑ 1.3↑ 9.3↓ 44.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.78% — higher than 90% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 44.4 pts — higher than 91% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme SOLUSD 1H

Sample: 54,192 1H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-10-18
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,689 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,689 times — 100%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -96.81%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 22.31%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 3.19%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H1 · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-52.4%
Bear Bias
-96.8%
Bear Extreme
-94.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, SOLUSD recorded in the extreme Bear energy zone.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Energy delta -44.4%: Market Energy at -96.8%, previously -52.4%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to 100.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 23:00 on 16-10-2026, SOLUSD was at 103.77, down 1.78% from the previous candle (105.65). Market Energy was -96.8%, down 44.4 points from -52.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 103.77, down 1.78% from the previous 1H candle (105.65). This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 54,155 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 44.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -52.4% to -96.8%. This drop is larger than 91% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SOLUSD at -52.4%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -96.8%, SOLUSD is 22.31 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 3.19 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.6%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Extreme, -96.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 61.4%. SOLUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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