Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
SOLUSD from 120.72 to 120.05, down 0.56%
Market Energy Bear Critical -72.0% to Bear Extreme -87.0%, down 15.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.48%▼ 0.27%▼ 0.77%▼ 0.56%
Energy▲ 6.5▲ 3.1▼ 28.1▼ 15.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.48%▼ 0.27%▼ 0.77%▼ 0.56%▲ 6.5▲ 3.1▼ 28.1▼ 15.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.56% — higher than 53% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.0 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme SOLUSD 1H

Sample: 53,688 1H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-27
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 1,665 times

▸When SOLUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,665 times — 100%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current SOLUSD market energy: -87.02%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.52%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 12.98%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H1 · 2026-09-28 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live SOLUSD chart →
Market Energy
-72.0%
Bear Critical
-87.0%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
11:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, SOLUSD within the peak Bear energy state.

Market energy measurement A -15% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -87% (previous: -72%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.2 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 09:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 120.05, down 0.56% from the previous candle (120.72). Market Energy was -87%, down 15.0 points from -72%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 120.05, down 0.56% from the previous 1H candle (120.72). This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 53,710 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15 percentage points from the previous candle — from -72% to -87%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SOLUSD at -72%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -87%, SOLUSD is 12.52 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 12.98 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -29.3%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Extreme, -87%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.4%. SOLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 66.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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