Analysis

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Price and energy
SOLUSD from 104.09 to 101.59, down 2.40%
Market Energy Bull Bias 27.3% to Bear Critical -69.7%, down 97.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.32%0.08%0.05%2.40%
Energy8.34.31.897.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.32% 0.08% 0.05% 2.40% 8.3 4.3 1.8 97.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.40% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 97.0 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical SOLUSD 1H

Sample: 53,306 1H candles from 2020-08-11 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,625 times

When SOLUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,945 times74.1%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 680 times25.9%

Current SOLUSD market energy: -69.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.72%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.78%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · H1 · 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
27.3%
Bull Bias
-69.7%
Bear Critical
-75.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, SOLUSD in the Bear Critical energy zone.

The energy side shows Market Energy dropped -97% from the previous session, from 27.3% to -69.7%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.8 to +99.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 101.59, down 2.4% from the previous candle (104.09). Market Energy was -69.7%, down 97.0 points from 27.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 101.59, down 2.4% from the previous 1H candle (104.09). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SOLUSD, across 53,144 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 97 percentage points from the previous candle — from 27.3% to -69.7%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had SOLUSD at 27.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, SOLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.7%, SOLUSD is 9.72 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.78 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63.9%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Critical, -69.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 37.6%. SOLUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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