Analysis

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Price and energy
SOLUSD from 96.88 to 98.66, up 1.84%
Market Energy Bear Bias -58.3% to Bear Bias -54.4%, up 3.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.42%3.25%5.51%1.84%
Energy21.018.933.93.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.42% 3.25% 5.51% 1.84% 21.0 18.9 33.9 3.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.84% — higher than 34% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 3.9 pts — higher than 22% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias SOLUSD Daily

Sample: 2,226 Daily candles from 2020-08-12 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 178 times

When SOLUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then SOLUSD moved to higher Market State: 104 times58.4%
  • then SOLUSD moved to lower Market State: 74 times41.6%

Current SOLUSD market energy: -54.39%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 33.51%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 5.61%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

SOLUSD · D1 · 2026-09-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-58.3%
Bear Bias
-54.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily data updates, SOLUSD classified as the energy state leaning Bear.

At the Daily session close, Compared to the previous candle (-58.3%), Market Energy rose +3.9% to -54.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 7 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, SOLUSD Market Energy ranged from -58.3 to -22.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did SOLUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, SOLUSD was at 98.66, up 1.84% from the previous candle (96.88). Market Energy was -54.4%, up 3.9 points from -58.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did SOLUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

SOLUSD closed at 98.66, up 1.84% from the previous Daily candle (96.88). This rise is larger than 34% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for SOLUSD, across 2,226 candles since 2019.

How did SOLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 3.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -58.3% to -54.4%. This rise is larger than 22% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for SOLUSD.

Do SOLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was SOLUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had SOLUSD at -58.3%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does SOLUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -54.4%, SOLUSD is 33.51 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 5.61 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.6%. Against this backdrop, SOLUSD (Bear Bias, -54.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 44.1%. SOLUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for SOLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for SOLUSD on the SOLUSD overview →

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