Analysis

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Candle close

POLUSD is currently leaning slightly toward sellers, energy -6.3%. This still sits in the Neutral zone — the probability of a clear trend is not yet defined.

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,508 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-04
Number of Neutral occurrences: 459 times

▸When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 213 times — 46.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 246 times — 53.6%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: -6.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 27.23%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 14.53%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-05 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
27.9%
Bull Bias
-6.3%
Neutral
Expected at
23:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
EXPLANATION

Model processing calculation.

Estimated completion: 2026-10-05 19:01 UTC+7

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -81.3 to +39.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 15:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, POLUSD had Market Energy -6.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 34.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 27.9% to -6.3%.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 27.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, POLUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -6.3%, POLUSD is 27.23 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 14.53 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -21.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -30.9%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, -6.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -58%. POLUSD energy is currently above DXY by 51.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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