Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.56344 to 0.56014, down 0.59%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.2% to Bear Extreme -89.8%, down 13.5 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.22%▼ 0.40%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.59%
Energy▲ 12.1▲ 1.2▼ 4.0▼ 13.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.22%▼ 0.40%▼ 0.10%▼ 0.59%▲ 12.1▲ 1.2▼ 4.0▼ 13.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.59% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.5 pts — higher than 61% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDUSD Daily

Sample: 4,030 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 50 times

▸When NZDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 50 times — 100%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NZDUSD market energy: -89.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 15.27%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 10.23%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · D1 · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-76.2%
Bear Extreme
-89.8%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily session ends, NZDUSD recorded in Bear Extreme.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -13.5% from the previous candle, from -76.2% to -89.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -89.8 to -72.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.56014, down 0.59% from the previous candle (0.56344). Market Energy was -89.8%, down 13.5 points from -76.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.56014, down 0.59% from the previous Daily candle (0.56344). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NZDUSD, across 2,421 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.2% to -89.8%. This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had NZDUSD at -76.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -89.8%, NZDUSD is 15.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 10.23 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -8.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.3%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Extreme, -89.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 71.3%. NZDUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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