Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDUSD from 0.58143 to 0.57777, down 0.63%
Market Energy Bear Critical -66.3% to Bear Critical -70.4%, down 4.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.64%0.14%0.01%0.63%
Energy24.92.03.84.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.64% 0.14% 0.01% 0.63% 24.9 2.0 3.8 4.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.63% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.1 pts — higher than 22% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NZDUSD Daily

Sample: 4,015 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 134 times

When NZDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then NZDUSD moved to higher Market State: 98 times73.1%
  • then NZDUSD moved to lower Market State: 36 times26.9%

Current NZDUSD market energy: -70.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 4.07%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

NZDUSD · D1 · 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-66.3%
Bear Critical
-70.4%
Bear Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the Daily candle closes, NZDUSD reflects the near-extreme Bear energy level.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy dropped -4.1% this candle, currently -70.4% (previous candle -66.3%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDUSD Market Energy ranged from -72.1 to -47.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, NZDUSD was at 0.57777, down 0.63% from the previous candle (0.58143). Market Energy was -70.4%, down 4.1 points from -66.3%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NZDUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDUSD closed at 0.57777, down 0.63% from the previous Daily candle (0.58143). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NZDUSD, across 2,406 candles since 2019.

How did NZDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.3% to -70.4%. This drop is larger than 22% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for NZDUSD.

Do NZDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had NZDUSD at -66.3%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.4%, NZDUSD is 10.43 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 4.07 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -4.5%. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD (Bear Critical, -70.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -13.5%. NZDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 57 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDUSD on the NZDUSD overview →

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