Analysis

NZDJPY 88.4725 ↓0.18%: Bears very strong · 4H 08:00 Oct 13, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 88.6475 · High 88.686 · Low 88.394 · Close 88.4725 · Range (high − low) 0.292
NZDJPY closed at 88.4725, down 0.1555 (-0.18%) from 88.628.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -66.2% to Bear Critical at -69.4%, down 3.2 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price88.75988.611588.62888.4725
Energy-0.7%-53.9%-66.2%-69.4%
Price change↑ 0.03%↓ 0.17%↑ 0.02%↓ 0.18%
Energy change↓ 6.6↓ 53.2↓ 12.3↓ 3.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.03%↓ 0.17%↑ 0.02%↓ 0.18%↓ 6.6↓ 53.2↓ 12.3↓ 3.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.18% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.2 pts — higher than 13% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NZDJPY 4H

Sample: 393 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 26 times

▸When NZDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 19 times — 73.1%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 26.9%

▸Current NZDJPY market energy: -69.39%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.39%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.11%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-66.2%
Bear Critical
-69.4%
Bear Critical
-68.8%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Bear Critical of Market Energy recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for NZDJPY.

The market energy reading Market Energy reading dropped -3.2%, moving from -66.2% to -69.4% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDJPY Market Energy ranged from -69.4 to 70.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 08:00 on 13-10-2026, NZDJPY was at 88.4725, down 0.18% from the previous candle (88.628). Market Energy was -69.4%, down 3.2 points from -66.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 88.4725, down 0.18% from the previous 4H candle (88.628). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY, across 348 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.2% to -69.4%. This drop is larger than 13% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDJPY at -66.2%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.4%, NZDJPY is 9.39 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.11 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -18.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -2%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Critical, -69.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.1%. NZDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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