Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDJPY from 89.1025 to 89.093, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.8% to Bear Extreme -77.2%, down 0.5 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.14%0.21%0.01%
Energy8.41.89.30.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.14% 0.21% 0.01% 8.4 1.8 9.3 0.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 7% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.5 pts — higher than 2% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDJPY 4H

Sample: 222 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 10 times

When NZDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 10 times100%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current NZDJPY market energy: -77.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.74%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.76%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-14 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-76.8%
Bear Extreme
-77.2%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, NZDJPY classified as the Bear Extreme zone.

The market energy reading Market Energy reading dropped -0.5%, moving from -76.8% to -77.2% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDJPY Market Energy ranged from -77.2 to +54.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, NZDJPY was at 89.093, down 0.01% from the previous candle (89.1025). Market Energy was -77.2%, down 0.5 points from -76.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 89.093, down 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (89.1025). This drop is larger than 7% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY, across 223 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.8% to -77.2%. This drop is larger than 2% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDJPY at -76.8%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.2%, NZDJPY is 2.74 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.76 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -6.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Extreme, -77.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.7%. NZDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 86 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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