Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDJPY from 94.7085 to 94.68, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -82.1% to Bear Critical -70.7%, up 11.4 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.44%0.03%0.03%
Energy13.0121.910.111.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.44% 0.03% 0.03% 13.0 121.9 10.1 11.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 21% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.4 pts — higher than 45% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical NZDJPY 4H

Sample: 230 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 17 times

When NZDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 11 times64.7%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 6 times35.3%

Current NZDJPY market energy: -70.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.76%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · H4 · 2026-08-26 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-82.1%
Bear Extreme
-70.7%
Bear Critical
-62.9%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, Market NZDJPY in the Bear Critical reading.

On the measurement side, Market Energy at -70.7%, up +11.4% from -82.1% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDJPY Market Energy ranged from -82.1 to +92.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 26-08-2026 closed, NZDJPY was at 94.68, down 0.03% from the previous candle (94.7085). Market Energy was -70.7%, up 11.4 points from -82.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 94.68, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (94.7085). This drop is larger than 21% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY, across 147 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -82.1% to -70.7%. This rise is larger than 45% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDJPY at -82.1%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, NZDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.7%, NZDJPY is 10.74 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.76 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.9%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Critical, -70.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 11.4%. NZDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 82.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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