Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
NZDJPY from 88.861 to 88.8155, down 0.05%
Market Energy Neutral -10.5% to Bear Bias -22.2%, down 11.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.04%▼ 0.13%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.05%
Energy▼ 1.6▼ 50.6▼ 26.8▼ 11.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.04%▼ 0.13%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.05%▼ 1.6▼ 50.6▼ 26.8▼ 11.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 42% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.7 pts — higher than 59% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias NZDJPY 1H

Sample: 58,362 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 4,413 times

▸When NZDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then NZDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,771 times — 62.8%
  • then NZDJPY moved to lower Market State: 1,642 times — 37.2%

▸Current NZDJPY market energy: -22.19%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 1.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 37.81%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NZDJPY · H1 · 2026-10-01 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-10.5%
Neutral
-22.2%
Bear Bias
-60.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

NZDJPY recorded in the energy state leaning Bear as the 1H candle ended.

The energy side shows Market Energy reading dropped -11.7%, moving from -10.5% to -22.2% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDJPY Market Energy ranged from -94.9 to +98.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, NZDJPY was at 88.8155, down 0.05% from the previous candle (88.861). Market Energy was -22.2%, down 11.7 points from -10.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did NZDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDJPY closed at 88.8155, down 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (88.861). This drop is larger than 42% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDJPY, across 48,285 candles since 2019.

How did NZDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -10.5% to -22.2%. This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDJPY.

Do NZDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NZDJPY at -10.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, NZDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does NZDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -22.2%, NZDJPY is 1.31 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 37.81 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.9%. Against this backdrop, NZDJPY (Bear Bias, -22.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 94.8%. NZDJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDJPY on the NZDJPY overview →

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