Analysis

NZDCAD 0.79511 ↓0.25%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 15, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.7971 · High 0.7977 · Low 0.79476 · Close 0.79511 · Range (high − low) 0.00293
NZDCAD closed at 0.79511, down 0.00199 (-0.25%) from 0.7971.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -34.1% to Bear Extreme at -86.2%, down 52.1 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.798860.798770.79710.79511
Energy-7.2%-1.2%-34.1%-86.2%
Price change↑ 0.04%↓ 0.01%↓ 0.21%↓ 0.25%
Energy change↑ 27.9↑ 6.1↓ 32.9↓ 52.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.04%↓ 0.01%↓ 0.21%↓ 0.25%↑ 27.9↑ 6.1↓ 32.9↓ 52.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.25% — higher than 89% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 52.1 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDCAD 4H

Sample: 382 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 13 times

▸When NZDCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDCAD moved to higher Market State: 13 times — 100%
  • then NZDCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current NZDCAD market energy: -86.16%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 11.66%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 13.84%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

NZDCAD · H4 · 2026-10-14 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live NZDCAD chart →
Market Energy
-34.1%
Bear Bias
-86.2%
Bear Extreme
-75.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, NZDCAD noted at the extreme Bear energy state.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -52.1% this candle, currently -86.2% (previous candle -34.1%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDCAD Market Energy ranged from -86.2 to 58.7.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 14-10-2026, NZDCAD was at 0.79511, down 0.25% from the previous candle (0.7971). Market Energy was -86.2%, down 52.1 points from -34.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDCAD closed at 0.79511, down 0.25% from the previous 4H candle (0.7971). This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDCAD, across 358 candles since 2019.

How did NZDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 52.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -34.1% to -86.2%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for NZDCAD.

Do NZDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had NZDCAD at -34.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, NZDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does NZDCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -86.2%, NZDCAD is 11.66 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 13.84 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -42.8%. Against this backdrop, NZDCAD (Bear Extreme, -86.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.6%. NZDCAD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDCAD on the NZDCAD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .