Analysis

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Price and energy
NZDCAD from 0.80279 to 0.79933, down 0.43%
Market Energy Bull Bias 32.4% to Bear Extreme -86.8%, down 119.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.04%0.02%0.43%
Energy18.33.33.8119.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.04% 0.02% 0.43% 18.3 3.3 3.8 119.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.43% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 119.2 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme NZDCAD 1H

Sample: 58,039 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 676 times

When NZDCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then NZDCAD moved to higher Market State: 676 times100%
  • then NZDCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current NZDCAD market energy: -86.77%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.27%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 13.23%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

NZDCAD · H1 · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
32.4%
Bull Bias
-86.8%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
03:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, Market NZDCAD in Bear in Extreme state.

On the measurement side, Market Energy moved from 32.4% to -86.8%, down -119.2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, NZDCAD Market Energy ranged from -99.8 to +91.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did NZDCAD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 01:00 on 17-09-2026 closed, NZDCAD was at 0.79933, down 0.43% from the previous candle (0.80279). Market Energy was -86.8%, down 119.2 points from 32.4%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did NZDCAD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

NZDCAD closed at 0.79933, down 0.43% from the previous 1H candle (0.80279). This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDCAD on record since 2019.

How did NZDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 119.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 32.4% to -86.8%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for NZDCAD on record since 2019.

Do NZDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was NZDCAD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had NZDCAD at 32.4%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, NZDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does NZDCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -86.8%, NZDCAD is 12.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 13.23 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -15.4%. Against this backdrop, NZDCAD (Bear Extreme, -86.8%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.5%. NZDCAD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for NZDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for NZDCAD on the NZDCAD overview →

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