Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
HMH Stock from 18 to 16.2, down 10.00%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -98.2% to Bear Bias -57.1%, up 41.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 8.33%▼ 9.89%▲ 9.76%▼ 10.00%
Energy▲ 12.2▼ 110.3▼ 3.8▲ 41.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 8.33%▼ 9.89%▲ 9.76%▼ 10.00%▲ 12.2▼ 110.3▼ 3.8▲ 41.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 10.00% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy up 41.0 pts — higher than 83% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias HMH Stock Daily

Sample: 3,287 Daily candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 202 times

▸When HMH Stock is in Bear Bias:

  • then HMH Stock moved to higher Market State: 123 times — 60.9%
  • then HMH Stock moved to lower Market State: 79 times — 39.1%

▸Current HMH Stock market energy: -57.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 36.25%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 2.87%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

HMH · D1 · 2026-10-05 02:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live HMH chart →
Market Energy
-98.2%
Bear Extreme
-57.1%
Bear Bias
Expected at
09:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

HMH Stock classified into the Bear Bias energy level after the Daily candle completed.

Market trend update: Market Energy rose +41% from the previous session, from -98.2% to -57.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, HMH Stock Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to -57.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did HMH Stock price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 09:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, HMH Stock was at 16.2, down 10% from the previous candle (18). Market Energy was -57.1%, up 41.0 points from -98.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did HMH price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

HMH closed at 16.2, down 10% from the previous Daily candle (18). This is the largest of all drops on the Daily timeframe for HMH on record since 2019.

How did HMH Stock Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 41 percentage points from the previous candle — from -98.2% to -57.1%. This rise is larger than 83% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for HMH.

Do HMH price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was HMH Stock in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had HMH Stock at -98.2%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, HMH Stock moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Bias.

Where does HMH Stock energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -57.1%, HMH Stock is 36.25 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 2.87 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: VNINDEX (Vietnam equities) in Neutral with energy -13.3%; VN30 (VN30 basket) in Bear Bias with energy -33.2%. Against this backdrop, HMH Stock (Bear Bias, -57.1%) lower than VNINDEX; sits in the same state zone as VN30.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 97.6%. HMH Stock (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for HMH Stock.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for HMH on the HMH Stock overview →

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