Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3206 to 1.3231, up 0.19%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -83.7% to Bear Critical -64.6%, up 19.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.01%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.14%▲ 0.19%
Energy▼ 10.7▼ 25.1▼ 31.8▲ 19.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.01%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.14%▲ 0.19%▼ 10.7▼ 25.1▼ 31.8▲ 19.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.19% — higher than 74% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 19.1 pts — higher than 76% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,266 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 626 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 450 times — 71.9%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 176 times — 28.1%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: -64.6%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.6%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.9%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-83.7%
Bear Extreme
-64.6%
Bear Critical
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, Market GBPUSD in the near-peak Bear energy zone.

On the measurement side, Market Energy rose +19.1% from the previous session, from -83.7% to -64.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -83.7 to +74.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3231, up 0.19% from the previous candle (1.3206). Market Energy was -64.6%, up 19.1 points from -83.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3231, up 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (1.3206). This rise is larger than 74% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 12,060 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 19.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -83.7% to -64.6%. This rise is larger than 76% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at -83.7%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.6%, GBPUSD is 4.6 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.9 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.1%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Critical, -64.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 91.1%. GBPUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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