Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3243 to 1.3269, up 0.19%
Market Energy Bull Bias 43.0% to Bull Critical 71.8%, up 28.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.00%▼ 0.05%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.19%
Energy▼ 9.6▼ 11.4▲ 8.0▲ 28.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.00%▼ 0.05%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.19%▼ 9.6▼ 11.4▲ 8.0▲ 28.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.19% — higher than 74% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 28.8 pts — higher than 88% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,259 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 622 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 200 times — 32.2%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 422 times — 67.8%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: 71.84%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.84%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2026-09-28 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
43.0%
Bull Bias
71.8%
Bull Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, GBPUSD shows Bull in Critical state.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy moved from 43% to 71.8%, up +28.8% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to +74.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3269, up 0.19% from the previous candle (1.3243). Market Energy was 71.8%, up 28.8 points from 43%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3269, up 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (1.3243). This rise is larger than 74% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 12,051 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 28.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 43% to 71.8%. This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at 43%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.8%, GBPUSD is 2.66 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.84 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.2%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bull Critical, 71.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.1%. GBPUSD energy is currently above DXY by 63.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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