Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3395 to 1.3388, down 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Critical 72.5% to Bull Critical 62.7%, down 9.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.16%0.25%0.09%0.05%
Energy10.662.861.19.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.16% 0.25% 0.09% 0.05% 10.6 62.8 61.1 9.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.05% — higher than 27% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 9.9 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,233 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 622 times

When GBPUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 200 times32.2%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 422 times67.8%

Current GBPUSD market energy: 62.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.83%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.67%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2026-09-20 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
72.5%
Bull Critical
62.7%
Bull Critical
45.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded GBPUSD in the Bull Critical measurement after the 4H candle closed.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, The energy level dropped -9.9%: from 72.5% now at 62.7%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -100 to +72.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3388, down 0.05% from the previous candle (1.3395). Market Energy was 62.7%, down 9.9 points from 72.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3388, down 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (1.3395). This drop is larger than 27% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 12,019 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 9.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 72.5% to 62.7%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at 72.5%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.7%, GBPUSD is 11.83 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.67 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 59.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.2%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bull Critical, 62.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -75.7%. GBPUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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