Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3515 to 1.3516, up 0.00%
Market Energy Bear Critical -68.1% to Bear Critical -71.1%, down 3.0 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.09%0.11%0.00%
Energy1.813.717.43.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.09% 0.11% 0.00% 1.8 13.7 17.4 3.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.00% — higher than 2% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.0 pts — higher than 21% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPUSD 4H

Sample: 18,209 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 621 times

When GBPUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 447 times72%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 174 times28%

Current GBPUSD market energy: -71.13%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.37%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H4 · 2026-09-01 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-68.1%
Bear Critical
-71.1%
Bear Critical
-73.1%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, GBPUSD within the Bear Critical zone.

On the measurement side, Energy delta -3%: Market Energy at -71.1%, previously -68.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -83.9 to -20.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 02-09-2026 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3516, up <0.01% from the previous candle (1.3515). Market Energy was -71.1%, down 3.0 points from -68.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3516, up <0.01% from the previous 4H candle (1.3515). This rise is larger than 2% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 11,940 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -68.1% to -71.1%. This drop is larger than 21% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPUSD at -68.1%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.1%, GBPUSD is 11.13 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.37 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -38%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.1%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Critical, -71.1%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 79.5%. GBPUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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