Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3456 to 1.3458, up 0.02%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -84.9% to Bear Critical -72.0%, up 12.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.01%0.10%0.02%
Energy0.48.716.512.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.01% 0.10% 0.02% 0.4 8.7 16.5 12.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.02% — higher than 24% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 12.8 pts — higher than 65% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPUSD 1H

Sample: 72,887 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,177 times

When GBPUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,598 times73.4%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 579 times26.6%

Current GBPUSD market energy: -72.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.04%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.46%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · H1 · 2026-09-16 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-84.9%
Bear Extreme
-72.0%
Bear Critical
Expected at
21:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, GBPUSD shows the Bear Critical state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, The energy level rose +12.8%: from -84.9% now at -72%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -92.5 to +96.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3458, up 0.02% from the previous candle (1.3456). Market Energy was -72%, up 12.8 points from -84.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3458, up 0.02% from the previous 1H candle (1.3456). This rise is larger than 24% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for GBPUSD, across 48,056 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 12.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -84.9% to -72%. This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had GBPUSD at -84.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72%, GBPUSD is 12.04 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.46 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.9%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Critical, -72%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51.9%. GBPUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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