Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3239 to 1.3242, up 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Bias -53.2% to Bear Bias -47.0%, up 6.2 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.17%▼ 0.50%▲ 0.31%▲ 0.03%
Energy▲ 22.1▼ 17.2▲ 15.4▲ 6.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.17%▼ 0.50%▲ 0.31%▲ 0.03%▲ 22.1▼ 17.2▲ 15.4▲ 6.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 8% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.2 pts — higher than 33% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GBPUSD Daily

Sample: 4,053 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 313 times

▸When GBPUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 210 times — 67.1%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 103 times — 32.9%

▸Current GBPUSD market energy: -47.03%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 26.15%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 12.97%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · D1 · 2026-10-04 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPUSD chart →
Market Energy
-53.2%
Bear Bias
-47.0%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

GBPUSD classified into the Market Energy state leaning Bear after the Daily candle completed.

Market movement after the Daily candle closes, Energy delta +6.2%: Market Energy at -47%, previously -53.2%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -73.6 to -47.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 04-10-2026 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3242, up 0.03% from the previous candle (1.3239). Market Energy was -47%, up 6.2 points from -53.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3242, up 0.03% from the previous Daily candle (1.3239). This rise is larger than 8% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for GBPUSD, across 2,423 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -53.2% to -47%. This rise is larger than 33% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had GBPUSD at -53.2%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -47%, GBPUSD is 26.15 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 12.97 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 34.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 61.7%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Bias, -47%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -42.6%. GBPUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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