Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPUSD from 1.3471 to 1.3382, down 0.66%
Market Energy Bear Bias -53.1% to Bear Extreme -88.8%, down 35.6 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.18%0.23%0.66%
Energy4.41.638.935.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.18% 0.23% 0.66% 4.4 1.6 38.9 35.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.66% — higher than 86% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 35.6 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPUSD Daily

Sample: 4,039 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 45 times

When GBPUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPUSD moved to higher Market State: 45 times100%
  • then GBPUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPUSD market energy: -88.76%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 14.26%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 11.24%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

GBPUSD · D1 · 2026-09-16 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-53.1%
Bear Bias
-88.8%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the Daily candle closes, GBPUSD currently in Bear Extreme.

Observing the GBPUSD market this session, A -35.6% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -88.8% (previous: -53.1%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPUSD Market Energy ranged from -88.8 to -11.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, GBPUSD was at 1.3382, down 0.66% from the previous candle (1.3471). Market Energy was -88.8%, down 35.6 points from -53.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPUSD closed at 1.3382, down 0.66% from the previous Daily candle (1.3471). This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for GBPUSD, across 2,408 candles since 2019.

How did GBPUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 35.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -53.1% to -88.8%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for GBPUSD.

Do GBPUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had GBPUSD at -53.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, GBPUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does GBPUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -88.8%, GBPUSD is 14.26 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 11.24 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.6%. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD (Bear Extreme, -88.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 44.1%. GBPUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPUSD on the GBPUSD overview →

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