Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPNZD from 2.3541 to 2.3534, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Critical -74.2% to Bear Critical -72.9%, up 1.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.07%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.03%
Energy▼ 19.7▼ 53.3▼ 25.7▲ 1.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.07%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.03%▼ 19.7▼ 53.3▼ 25.7▲ 1.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 31% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.3 pts — higher than 9% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPNZD 1H

Sample: 57,907 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,578 times

▸When GBPNZD is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPNZD moved to higher Market State: 1,154 times — 73.1%
  • then GBPNZD moved to lower Market State: 424 times — 26.9%

▸Current GBPNZD market energy: -72.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.94%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.56%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

GBPNZD · H1 · 2026-10-02 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-74.2%
Bear Critical
-72.9%
Bear Critical
Expected at
13:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, Market GBPNZD in the near-peak Bear trend energy zone.

Observing the GBPNZD market this session, Energy delta +1.3%: Market Energy at -72.9%, previously -74.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPNZD Market Energy ranged from -93.5 to +93.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPNZD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 11:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, GBPNZD was at 2.3534, down 0.03% from the previous candle (2.3541). Market Energy was -72.9%, up 1.3 points from -74.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPNZD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPNZD closed at 2.3534, down 0.03% from the previous 1H candle (2.3541). This drop is larger than 31% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for GBPNZD, across 48,201 candles since 2019.

How did GBPNZD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.2% to -72.9%. This rise is larger than 9% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for GBPNZD.

Do GBPNZD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPNZD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had GBPNZD at -74.2%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPNZD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72.9%, GBPNZD is 12.94 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.56 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 94.4%. Against this backdrop, GBPNZD (Bear Critical, -72.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.4%. GBPNZD energy is currently below DXY by 58.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPNZD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPNZD on the GBPNZD overview →

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