Analysis

GBPJPY 209.964 ↑0.05%: Bulls very strong · 4H 12:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 209.873 · High 209.999 · Low 209.7235 · Close 209.964 · Range (high − low) 0.2755
GBPJPY closed at 209.964, up 0.0955 (+0.05%) from 209.8685.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 61.6% to Bull Critical at 73.3%, up 11.7 points.
Fourth straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price209.71209.751209.869209.964
Energy38.3%62.7%61.6%73.3%
Price change↑ 0.30%↑ 0.02%↑ 0.06%↑ 0.05%
Energy change↑ 58.9↑ 24.3↓ 1.1↑ 11.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.30%↑ 0.02%↑ 0.06%↑ 0.05%↑ 58.9↑ 24.3↓ 1.1↑ 11.7
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 23% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 11.7 pts — higher than 51% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GBPJPY 4H

Sample: 18,341 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,045 times

▸When GBPJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 360 times — 34.4%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 685 times — 65.6%

▸Current GBPJPY market energy: 73.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 1.22%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.28%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H4 · 2026-10-16 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPJPY chart →
Market Energy
61.6%
Bull Critical
73.3%
Bull Critical
93.6%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, GBPJPY classified as the near-peak Bull trend energy zone.

Market trend update: Market Energy rose +11.7% this candle, currently 73.3% (previous candle 61.6%).

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -89.7 to 82.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 12:00 on 16-10-2026, GBPJPY was at 209.964, up 0.05% from the previous candle (209.8685). Market Energy was 73.3%, up 11.7 points from 61.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 209.964, up 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (209.8685). This rise is larger than 23% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 12,126 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 61.6% to 73.3%. This rise is larger than 51% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPJPY at 61.6%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 73.3%, GBPJPY is 1.22 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.28 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 50.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 95.9%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Bull Critical, 73.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -44.6%. GBPJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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