Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPJPY from 211.545 to 210.2965, down 0.59%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -98.3% to Bear Extreme -99.2%, down 0.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.64%0.58%0.59%
Energy5.18.62.90.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.64% 0.58% 0.59% 5.1 8.6 2.9 0.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.59% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.8 pts — higher than 5% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme GBPJPY 4H

Sample: 18,179 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 620 times

When GBPJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 620 times100%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPJPY market energy: -99.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 24.68%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 0.82%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H4 · 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-98.3%
Bear Extreme
-99.2%
Bear Extreme
-95.8%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, Result for GBPJPY: the Bear Extreme zone.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -0.8% from the previous session, from -98.3% to -99.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 7 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -99.2 to +18.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, GBPJPY was at 210.2965, down 0.59% from the previous candle (211.545). Market Energy was -99.2%, down 0.8 points from -98.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 210.2965, down 0.59% from the previous 4H candle (211.545). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 11,942 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -98.3% to -99.2%. This drop is larger than 5% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPJPY at -98.3%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -99.2%, GBPJPY is 24.68 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 0.82 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -21.3%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Bear Extreme, -99.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -68.7%. GBPJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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