Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
GBPJPY from 208.5665 to 208.442, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bull Bias 32.7% to Bear Bias -40.1%, down 72.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.05%▼ 0.03%▼ 0.03%▼ 0.06%
Energy▲ 2.7▼ 2.3▼ 12.8▼ 72.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.05%▼ 0.03%▼ 0.03%▼ 0.06%▲ 2.7▼ 2.3▼ 12.8▼ 72.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 55% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 72.8 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias GBPJPY 1H

Sample: 73,055 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,479 times

▸When GBPJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then GBPJPY moved to higher Market State: 3,431 times — 62.6%
  • then GBPJPY moved to lower Market State: 2,048 times — 37.4%

▸Current GBPJPY market energy: -40.09%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 19.21%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 19.91%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

GBPJPY · H1 · 2026-09-29 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPJPY chart →
Market Energy
32.7%
Bull Bias
-40.1%
Bear Bias
-4.0%
Neutral
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, GBPJPY recorded in the Bear Bias state.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, The energy level dropped -72.8%: from 32.7% now at -40.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPJPY Market Energy ranged from -97.8 to +97.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 07:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, GBPJPY was at 208.442, down 0.06% from the previous candle (208.5665). Market Energy was -40.1%, down 72.8 points from 32.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did GBPJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPJPY closed at 208.442, down 0.06% from the previous 1H candle (208.5665). This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for GBPJPY, across 48,230 candles since 2019.

How did GBPJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 72.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 32.7% to -40.1%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for GBPJPY.

Do GBPJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was GBPJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had GBPJPY at 32.7%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, GBPJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does GBPJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -40.1%, GBPJPY is 19.21 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 19.91 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -19.4%. Against this backdrop, GBPJPY (Bear Bias, -40.1%) has higher energy than SPX500; lower than GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 29.8%. GBPJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPJPY on the GBPJPY overview →

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