Analysis

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Price and energy
GBPCHF from 1.0921 to 1.0911, down 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Bias -54.7% to Bear Critical -70.6%, down 15.9 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.05%0.32%0.09%
Energy4.74.636.515.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.05% 0.32% 0.09% 4.7 4.6 36.5 15.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.09% — higher than 63% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.9 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical GBPCHF 4H

Sample: 236 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2 times

When GBPCHF is in Bear Critical:

  • then GBPCHF moved to higher Market State: 2 times100%
  • then GBPCHF moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current GBPCHF market energy: -70.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.92%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

GBPCHF · H4 · 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-54.7%
Bear Bias
-70.6%
Bear Critical
-56.6%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, Result for GBPCHF: Bear Critical of Market Energy.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -15.9% from the previous candle, from -54.7% to -70.6%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPCHF Market Energy ranged from -70.6 to +54.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, GBPCHF was at 1.0911, down 0.09% from the previous candle (1.0921). Market Energy was -70.6%, down 15.9 points from -54.7%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did GBPCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPCHF closed at 1.0911, down 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (1.0921). This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCHF, across 181 candles since 2019.

How did GBPCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -54.7% to -70.6%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPCHF.

Do GBPCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPCHF at -54.7%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, GBPCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does GBPCHF energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.6%, GBPCHF is 10.58 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.92 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -21.3%. Against this backdrop, GBPCHF (Bear Critical, -70.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -68.7%. GBPCHF (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPCHF.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPCHF on the GBPCHF overview →

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